Kerviel's Fimat Broker Denies Knowledge of Unauthorized Bets

(Bloomberg) -- Fimat broker Moussa Bakir said he had no knowledge of any wrongdoing by Jerome Kerviel, distancing himself from the trader blamed by Societe Generale SA for a loss of 4.9 billion euros ($7.2 billion).

``I gave two or three pieces of advice to Jerome,'' he told police during a 48-hour interrogation between Feb. 7 and Feb. 9, according to Isabelle Montagne, the spokeswoman for the Paris prosecutors' office.

Bakir, 32, named a material witness in the Kerviel probe, was questioned after Societe Generale provided financial police with e-mail exchanges between the two men. Kerviel passed his trades through Fimat, which merged last month with Credit Agricole SA's futures brokerage to form a new entity, Newedge.

Societe Generale, France's second-largest bank, said Kerviel amassed 50 billion euros in authorized bets backed by fake hedges. It liquidated the positions in a three-day sell-off that resulted in the biggest trading loss in banking history. Kerviel, 31, has been charged with hacking into the bank's computers, falsifying documents and breach of trust. He is in police custody.

Bakir and Kerviel exchanged 164 text messages between Nov. 13 and Dec. 13, following queries from Eurex, Europe's biggest futures exchange, about the size of Kerviel's transactions, Montagne said. Kerviel had earlier told prosecutors he had been able to explain away Eurex's concerns.

More Questioning

Bakir's remarks to the financial police were reported today by Le Parisien. Bakir's lawyer, Jean-David Scemama, didn't return calls for comment.

``Between us, there was a kind of complicity you normally find in a professional context,'' Bakir told police, according to the prosecutors' spokeswoman. ``I knew he had a problem with his bosses without knowing why.''

Over the weekend, Le Nouvel Observateur reported on its Web site a series of e-mail exchanges between the two men, confirmed by a lawyer on the case, where Kerviel refers to ``our trades.''

In an Oct. 11 message, Kerviel asks Bakir, ``Did you speak to him about what we're doing?'' After Bakir says that the unidentified person ``returns tonight,'' Kerviel says: ``You didn't tell him about our trades, did you? Or else I'll knock your head off.''

Bakir, who was released on Feb. 9, may be called in for another round of interrogation, although a date has yet to be set, Montagne said.

Second Friend

Bakir's classification as a material witness shows that ``although the judge feels that there might be something there, there might be something against him, he has not made up his mind,'' said Stephane Bonifassi, a Paris-based lawyer and member of FraudNet, the International Chamber of Commerce's commercial crime unit.

The prosecutors' office also confirmed the Parisien report that a second friend of Kerviel's had received 1,218 calls from him in recent months and would be questioned soon.

Societe Generale said on Jan. 24 that it discovered Kerviel's bets on Jan. 18 and liquidated the positions between Jan. 21 and Jan. 23. The trading loss forced the bank to raise 5.5 billion euros by selling stock to replenish its capital.

Separately, a computer expert aiding Kerviel's lawyers said in an interview in Paris Match magazine today that the bank must have known about Kerviel's transactions.

``The bank could not have not known,'' Jean-Raymond Lemaire told the magazine, after spending a day with Kerviel to review his trades. Christophe Reille, a spokesman for Kerviel's legal team, confirmed his comments.

 

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U.S. December Trade Gap Narrows More Than Forecast

(Bloomberg) -- The U.S. trade deficit narrowed more than forecast in December as exports reached record levels and Americans spent less on imported autos and goods from China.

The gap between imports and exports shrank 6.9 percent, the biggest decrease in more than a year, to $58.8 billion from $63.1 billion in November, the Commerce Department said today in Washington. The deficit for all of 2007 decreased for the first time in six years.

A weaker dollar and expansion of emerging economies are feeding overseas sales for U.S.-made goods and may forestall a deeper slump at U.S. manufacturers. The narrowing deficit is one of the few remaining bright spots for the economy and will probably lead the government to increase its estimate of fourth- quarter gross domestic product later this month.

``The trade balance is going to continue to be a support for the economy,'' said David Resler, chief economist at Nomura Securities International Inc. in New York. ``The drop in imports is probably consistent with the view the domestic economy is turning quite soft.''

Economists had forecast the gap would narrow to $61.5 billion, according to the median of 76 projections in a Bloomberg News survey. Estimates of the deficit ranged from $57 billion to $66.5 billion.

The dollar, which had fallen against the euro earlier today, stayed lower after the report. It traded at $1.4609 per euro at 8:37 a.m. in New York, from $1.4573 late yesterday. The U.S. currency was little changed versus the yen, at 108.30 yen per dollar.

2007 Deficit Shrinks

For all of last year, the deficit shrank 6.2 percent to $711.6 billion, the biggest decrease since 1991. Last year was the first time the trade gap narrowed since 2001.

Exports rose 1.5 percent to $144.3 billion in December, setting a record for a 10th straight month and reflecting more demand for U.S. made capital equipment and industrial supplies. For the year, exports rose 12 percent to a record $1.622 trillion.

Imports in December declined 1.1 percent to $203.1 billion, reflecting lower demand for foreign-made autos, consumer goods, food and capital equipment.

Also contributing to the drop in imports was a 14 percent decline in purchases from China, which helped shrink the month's trade gap with the Asian nation 22 percent to $18.8 billion. Petroleum imports rose 4.2 percent to a record $36 billion as the average price rose to $82.76 a barrel, also the highest monthly average ever. Prices increased in late December and early January and may push up the value of imports for the January report. They have since declined.

Fourth-Quarter Growth

Today's report may cause the Commerce Department to revise its estimate of fourth-quarter economic growth higher. The government projected last month that the trade gap narrowed to a $521 billion annual pace in the last three months of 2007. For all of last year, trade contributed 0.55 percentage point to growth, the most since 1991.

The government will release a revised estimate of the expansion for the last three months of 2007 on Feb. 28.

Fed Chairman Ben S. Bernanke and Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson are scheduled to testify to the Senate Banking Committee later today on the state of the U.S. expansion. Central bank policy makers have forecast the economy will avoid a recession.

``The Fed's policy actions should help to promote a pickup in growth over time,'' Fed Bank of San Francisco President Janet Yellen said in a speech on Feb. 12. ``I consider it most probable that the U.S. economy will experience slow growth, and not outright recession, in coming quarters.''

Fed's Rate Cuts

The Fed's Open Market Committee is scheduled to next vote on interest-rate policy on March 18. Policy makers lowered the benchmark rate by three-quarters of a percentage point in an emergency decision announced Jan. 22 and followed that with a half-point cut at the scheduled Jan. 29-30 meeting.

After eliminating the influence of prices, the trade deficit decreased to $49.3 billion from $53.6 billion. This is the figure the government uses in calculating GDP.

For the year, the trade deficit with China, the second- largest U.S. trading partner after Canada, increased 10 percent to a record $256.3 billion.

The gap with China is a political sticking point for the U.S. and other countries.

Group of Seven policy makers, meeting in Tokyo last weekend, said China should do more to defuse global trade tensions by allowing the yuan to climb against the dollar and other currencies. The G-7 also forecast the U.S. economy may slow further, eroding global growth.

 

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MBIA Says It Can Weather Slump, Doesn't Need Bailout

(Bloomberg) -- MBIA Inc., the world's biggest bond insurer, said it is equipped to survive the slump in prices of mortgage securities and dismissed suggestions that the industry needs a rescue or stronger federal oversight.

``A bailout of highly credit-worthy companies who, at most, are at risk of losing the very highest ratings available, is misplaced,'' MBIA Chief Financial Officer Charles Chaplin said in prepared remarks to be delivered today at a hearing of the House Financial Services subcommittee on capital markets in Washington.

Chaplin and Ambac Financial Group Inc. Chief Executive Officer Michael Callen will make their presentations on Capitol Hill as they try to fend off credit rating downgrades and critics who say the companies may be headed for bankruptcy. One of the most vocal skeptics, hedge fund manager William Ackman, will also deliver remarks today alongside the MBIA and Ambac executives.

MBIA, based in Armonk, New York, and Ambac are among five companies struggling to maintain their top bond insurance credit ratings after a slump in the value of mortgage-linked securities the companies guaranteed. Standard & Poor's, Moody's Investors Service and Fitch Ratings are reviewing MBIA's top rating for a possible downgrade. Fitch already cut its AAA ratings on New York-based Ambac's insurance unit to AA. Ambac is also being scrutinized by Moody's and S&P.

``MBIA is more than adequately capitalized to meet obligations to policyholders,'' Chaplin, 51, said in his testimony.

Rescue Plans

Ambac said in a statement last night that Callen will tell the committee the company's main challenge is to achieve ``ratings stability.''

MBIA rose 61 cents to $12.25 at 9:38 a.m. in New York Stock Exchange composite trading. Ambac climbed 19 cents to $9.56.

MBIA and Ambac tumbled more than 80 percent in the past year in New York trading as they posted record losses of more than $5 billion and concern grew the companies may not get enough capital to sustain their ratings, casting doubt on $2.4 trillion of municipal and structured finance debt.

New York Insurance Department Superintendent Eric Dinallo last month organized banks to begin plans for a rescue of the insurers and said he may consider strengthening his oversight. Dinallo will also appear before the committee today, as will New York Governor Eliot Spitzer, U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission director Erik Sirri and Keith M. Buckley, a group managing director at Fitch.

Buffett's Offer

Dinallo will tell lawmakers he will consider splitting the bond insurers into two businesses, according to prepared testimony. ``One would have the municipal bond policies and any other healthy parts of the business,'' Dinallo said. ``The other would have the structured finance and problem parts of the business.''

Billionaire investor Warren Buffett yesterday offered to take over $800 billion of the municipal debt guaranteed by MBIA, Ambac and FGIC Corp., the fourth-largest bond insurer. Ambac yesterday said it rejected the offer. Two other insurers haven't responded, Buffett told CNBC television this week.

Spitzer told CNBC today that while Buffett's proposal would benefit municipalities, it wouldn't help the ``bad bank'' piece of the bond insurers' business. ``We don't want to create that schism yet if it can be avoided,'' Spitzer said.

 

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